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The table seems to have about a hundred different kinds of bets, the players are barking out commands in what seems to be a foreign language, and the pace is too fast to ever ask a question.
I can sympathize with the beginner, because at one point in time this was how craps appeared to me. View All. My older craps videos, Part 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5.
Analysis and advice for experienced players who have mastered basic strategy, and are looking to add an extra edge to their game. One question I get asked a lot is "what is the probability of a shooter lasting x rolls in craps?
The first column is the roll number. The second column is the probability of a seven-out on exactly that roll. The third column is the probability of surviving PAST that roll.
Read More. There are a bunch of craps bonuses out there, but not all of them are created equally. With our years of combined experience dealing with casinos, we have sought out to find the best craps bonuses, and have combined them together into the following table.
Muggsy's Corner. Replay -- Craps Side Bet. Bonus Craps. Different Doubles. Fire Bet. Fielder's Choice.
If we define it as expected loss to total bets made then turning the odds off would not matter. This is because the player is still betting the odds and it still counts as a bet even if it is returned as a push.
However if you define the house edge as expected loss to bets resolved then turning the odds off on a come out roll does indeed increase the house edge.
I wrote a computer simulation to determine this effect. Assuming the player takes fives times odds then turning the odds off on come out rolls increases the ratio of losses to total bets resolved from 0.
So if you want to maximize your return on bets resolved then leave those come odds turned on. Just a coincidence I assure you.
In fact I would argue the house edge in all casino games must be a rational number because there are a limited number of possible outcomes in all games, resulting in a house edge of a perfect fraction.
Therefore the two numbers can not be equal. The square root of 2 is 1. Thanks for the compliment. I recommend taking the match play. That match play is worth about 48 cents on the dollar.
The reason I favor that over blackjack is that blackjack has a lower probability of winning, thus reducing the value of the match play.
For further explanation please see my October 30 column. To confirm their math I made the following table, based on a field bet paying 3 to 1 on a So the house edge is indeed.
Mensa Anything but Seven Combo Number Probability Field Place 5 Place 6 Place 8 Win Return 2 0. However, in this case the player is only keeping the place bets up for one roll.
This significantly reduces the house edge on the place bets from 4. For you purists who think I am inconsistent in measuring the house edge on place bets as per bet resolved or ignoring ties then I invite you to visit my craps appendix 2 where all craps bets are measured per roll including ties.
Let's call x the expected number of rolls per shooter. Likewise If the player rolls a 5 or 9 on the come out roll the expected number of additional rolls is 3.
The probability that player will not seven out is 1 - 0. As I argue in my sports betting section betting NFL underdogs at home against the point spread also has resulted in a historical advantage.
So x odds in craps is still one of the best bets out there, but not the very best. Yes, 0. I agree that this is a very bad decision and poor advice from the dealers.
Taking "no action" is the same as trading it for a bet with a 1. So this decision costs the player To any dealers encouraging this I say shame on you.
Low Bet Total Combinations Probability Pays Return Hard 6,8 2 0. The fewer the sevens the greater the odds favor the pass line bet.
The following table shows the house edge according to the percentage of sevens, assuming the probability of all other numbers is proportional to the fair probability.
I get a lot of questions about combinations of craps bets. Your mistake is that both bets are not resolved all of the time. When you win either the 6 or 8 you are taking the other bet down, which brings down the expected loss because you are betting less.
So your math is right but you are comparing apples to oranges. There are various ways of using cards in place of dice and still have the odds exactly the same.
One way is to use two separate decks, thus there is no effect of removal. Another way is to have a 7-card deck, featuring the numbers 1 to 6, plus a seventh "double" card.
The first card drawn can never be the double card. If it is then it is put back in and the process repeats from the beginning. If the double card is drawn second then it counts as whatever the first number drawn was.
Regardless of how the casino does it I have never seen hard evidence of a case where the odds were different than if two dice were used.
So I think you are omitting something from the rules. They sought out my advice on how to best achieve this goal quickly. I was limited to the games at the Golden Nugget.
The Nugget has 10x odds in craps, which I felt offered the opportunity to achieve the goal. Then a point was rolled, I think a 6 or 8.
On the second roll the shooter sevened out. So the entire grand was lost in two rolls. To answer the first question, I think that for purposes of going for a quick big win the pass line is better.
To answer the second question, there is not much difference between 9x odds and 10x odds and I thought it would look better on television to be betting only black chips, at least to start.
As my blackjack section shows, the 2 to 1 on blackjacks is worth 2. Otherwise the rules look standard. All things considered, the house edge in the blackjack game has a player advantage of 2.
Every time this happens you get an extra unit, so it is worth 5. Normally the house edge on the come bet is 1. So I agree that craps was the better game to play.
The following table shows the house edge of place and buy bets, assuming there were no rounding of winnings. Place and Buy Bets in Crapless Crapspass and buying oddsin Crapless Craps Bet Pays Prob.
Win House Edge Place 2, 12 11 to 2 0. That is very tight to limit the dealers like that. We can see from my analysis of the Fire Bet that the probability of a shooter making all six points is 0.
The next question to be asked is what is the expected loss per shooter. The tricky part is how many pass line bets will a shooter make, on average.
There are four possible states the shooter can be in. Let's define each one as the expected number of future pass line bets for that shooter.
Finally, the expected return is the expected win divided by the expected bet: 0. If you thought it was impossible, think again! New Jersey grandmother Patricia Demauro beat the one-in-a The exhausted grandma caused quite a stir after a crowd of people formed around her to witness the miracle as she rolled every combination possible except a seven.
Another incredible fact about craps is the large number of superstitions that are connected with this game, like throwing a penny under the table or getting a lady to blow on the dice to bring good luck, probably more than any other casino table game.
Even more weirdly, many of these strange beliefs have something to do with the number seven, which is both the most beloved and feared number in the game.
Like all casino games, craps has its share of stars who become loaded after a lucky night of shooting dice. You can use the formula for probability to calculate the probability of each possible roll.
For example, suppose you want to calculate the probability of rolling an You can make the target outcome in one of two ways: roll a or roll a So, plug 2 for target outcomes and 36 for total outcomes into the formula for probability:.